Fair calculation - just got to hope the situation with approvals and level of performance really is where the company allows everyone to believe it is. The company has been rather late to owning up to problems. (see: Saliva, UK, TGA, attacks on TGA/government via media - well - and POC1)
I am pleased to see your calculation is based on success of only one arm - with a substantial execution risk attached. Many valuations floating around here are on the basis of at least two at best moderately likely events occurring well (battery + POC).
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Fair calculation - just got to hope the situation with approvals...
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