Climate Change "Models" Hopeless

  1. 7,394 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 49


    Climate Change Alarmism costing the world trillions and based largely on modelling is hopelessly wrong in their predictions compared to actual measurements from two independent sources namely satellite and balloon .
    Obviously the "science" is very flawed as the theory (models ) is not borne out by actual temperature data.
    This is not surprising as the apocalyptic climate change movement is political rather than based as the below shows.

    An Assessment of the 4th National climate assessment
    Andy May / November 28, 2018
    By Andy May
    The U.S. Fourth National Climate Assessment (NCA4) Volume II is out and generating a lot of discussion. Volume II, Impacts Risks and Adaptation in the United States to climate change can be downloaded here (Reidmiller, et al. 2018). Volume I, published last year, on the physical science behind the assessment is here (Wuebbles, et al. 2017).


    All climate models fail to predict the weather or climate, with the possible exception of the Russian model INM-CM4(Volodin, Dianskii and Gusev 2010). This model is mostly ignored by the climate community, presumably because it does not predict anything bad. As you can see in Figure 1, INM-CM4 matches observations reasonably well and that makes it an outlier among the 32 model output datasets plotted. This success also makes INM-CM4 the only validated model in the group.

    Figure 1. A comparison of 32 climate models and observations. The observations are from weather balloon and satellite data. The two observational methods are independent of one another and support each other. The plot is after Dr. John Christy of the University of Alabama in Huntsville (Christy 2016).
 
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.