The Fed Funds rate increases in 1983-1984 were preceded by US$ strength but also massive rebounds in Gold and gold stocks. From mid 1982 into early 1983 Gold rebounded by 73% .
The Fed Funds rate increase in 1999 is most applicable to today because it was preceded by US$ strength and steep declines in Gold, gold stocks and Commodities.
The gold mining indices (GDX, GDXJ) have held support and built a base since July. GDXJ figures to close the week in the mid $19s. If history repeats itself with Fed actions then a rebound should begin after the hike and last for a few months. The initial target would be the 200-day moving average ($22) followed by the October high (mid $23) and the 400-day moving average ($27).
That's all for now.
laza.
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