Good luck you are entitled to an opinion, there are no guarantees in a free market. I'm confident in my reasoning, the trigger happened today.
I don't talk gold in $AUD due to that being a currency trade not a commodity trade. I trust you have the finger on the pulse in what drivers currency, you'll need it if you rely on $AUD for your gold return.
Seriously though, good luck I hope in the long run your physical gives you that peace of mind. I have nothing against gold, quite like the stuff to look at!