ARL 2.22% 69.0¢ ardea resources limited

Funny how we are now getting all the experts running the rule...

  1. 1,004 Posts.
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    Funny how we are now getting all the experts running the rule over this great company.
    Niclou you were spot on.
    Outcome, forums like this are used by instos to place there stories they want to get there shares.
    Facts are
    Cobalt can it be replaced in the battery cycle ,no
    Are more cars moving to electric power yes
    Are China driving this theme? Yes
    Are governments mandating change ? Yes
    Demand for cobalt and nickel over next ten years growing 400%
    How long does it take to go from discovery of resource to production in nickel cobalt space 9 years mim
    How many are successful maybe 2% make it through to production
    Why do the other 98% fail? Resource not of economic size, not enough cash raised, too many shares on issue, management with no outcome ( we tick none of those boxes)

    Is the share register small ? Yes
    Do they have enough money to get through to bfs stage? Yes
    New tech how long does it take to get approved , forever
    Are car companies spending billions to upgrade there plant in the hope the technology is right ? Yes
    Certainly of resource , 50 million already spent.
    Directors do they have skin in the game? Yes Ian own over 10% of the company, logic states that he is just not collecting directors fees , he is a share holder and a large one at that , and who better than Ian to know what we have.
    Is it a multi decade resource on a low cost curve in a safe place , yes
    Does a resource like this attest majors
    Have they done deal on this before, yes, inco in 2009 , agreed to get 25 % for spending 68 million US dollars for a bfs and earn 60 % to commit to building the plant and find finance.
    I believe they are putting there business up for sale, wanting to bring a major into take the risk off the table and earn maybe 40% risk free , with the major having all the risk to finance and commission.
    Time will tell.
    Happy to watch this space evolve over the next five years have maybe 40% of a Tier one resource risk free with a major doing all the pushing in a space that is mandated to change, support of China and retooling of car sellers to the market.
 
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