AVH 10.0% $2.74 avita medical inc.

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    A 2x expansion of previous management's 40k manufacturing capacity guidance with RECELL doesn't have the same ring to it wink.png

    The focal point for me was they will have efficiently increased the current manufacturing capacity to 80k RECELL GO kits (if/when approved) by mid 2024, which has the potential to bring in over $400M/year in commercial revenue from the U.S. and ROW.

    For clarity, see below a couple of scenarios on how I got to the >$400M/year number:


    FY27-28?Disposable Kits SoldUS : ROW
    1U.S. Revenue
    ASP: $6500
    $364M 56,000 70%
    2International Revenue
    ASP: $5000? Agreement 50:50?
    $60M 24,000 30%
    3TOTAL$424M 80,000 100%


    FY27-28?Disposable Kits SoldUS : ROW
    1U.S. Revenue
    ASP: $6500
    $416M 64,000 80%
    2International Revenue
    ASP: $5000? Agreement 50:50?
    $40M 16,000 20%
    3TOTAL$456M 80,000 100%

    It doesn't worry me (insert OCD tic) wink.png It's much more enjoyable when this platform can be a quality source for sharing information, ideas and informed discussions which we all can hopefully benefit from. As always, I appreciate your kind words and posts.
    Agreed. It's also worth noting that RECELL would have been used off-label since the patient was only 10-years old when treated which indicates the high degree of confidence the more experienced physicians have using RECELL. Looking forward to much more patients and physicians benefiting from RECELL/GO/mini as the company continues to expand.
 
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