You wrote: "it's paradoxical but true: gold goes up with deflation expectations and down with inflation - because gold is the bboz of nominal yield it doesn't care about real yield."
Acknowledging that both NCM and bboz are not doing well recently, I would like to point out a difference between bboz and NCM. NCM still pays a dividend (above current cash rate) while bboz does not pay anything, if you are holding these as a long term hedge in your portfolio.
In my personal opinion these instruments perform as a hedge in any portfolio and should only be considered as part of a well diversified portfolio. For the reason of NCM paying a dividend above current cash rate, I personally prefer to have a bit of this in my portfolio over bboz currently. But bboz and NCM are not the same and everyone has different strategies for their portfolio.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advise. DYOR.
NCM Price at posting:
$24.44 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held