I've seen worse attempts at ballparking, however imo, the big tickets here are:
- Spot isn't going to be relevant to sale price in any direct shape, so using it as a direct barometer for analysis is faulty. Long term pricing is going to guide here; which is currently sitting at ~$75 US. Could go up, contracts could have flex in them, but regardless, spot 'aint it.
- There's an assumption of zero cost here? Only revenue? What's your correlation between revenue and share price? Value of mine = MCAP?
- I'm not sure the precise source of your figures re Mlb amounts in the mines, but have you taken into account ownership percentages? Just double checking!
I've seen worse attempts at ballparking, however imo, the big...
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Change
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