almut's - copock shlopock - friday again, page-6

Redbacka

Still got your tin hat on :-)

Re: Armstrong

Firstly, I agree he seems to be more loopy than he used to be.

Perhaps being repeatedly bashed with a typewriter in the head in prison hasn't helped.

Most of his time locked up was for contempt of court for not handing over some bars of gold he claimed not to have. How do you prove a negative?

It became obvious he would be there forever so he pleaded guily to some charge and given 5 years and there was no consideration given for time served.

That charge was later shown to be without substance and he was released so he really has no conviction for any thing.

It all seems a bit messy though!

His model is an economic one and not just stocks so it can be currencies bonds etc.

His 8.6 year model is the circumference of a circle with a diameter of 1,000 days. To make it esoteric, some might see biblical references to rules or reigns of 1,000 days!

The 8.6 years is a H&S pattern of 2 legs up 1 down 1 up 1 down 1 up and 2 down. So it can be broken into 1/8ths.

You have his fixed or static dates which don't change and dynamic timing from major lows and highs.

I can't list every result but here's a few.

A major static was crash day 1987.

His major static top in late Dec 1989 was the all time Japan high.

The static 1991 low was a week out.

The static 1994 low was 2 weeks out.

His static 2 legs down was from Sep 2000 to Nov 2002. Not bad for SPX!

For XAO our Feb 2002 top to 2003 low was exactly 1 leg to the day.

The move from 2009 low to the 2011 top was exactly 2 legs.

The move down from there into this years low was week a more than 1 leg.

I could give many more examples of static dates and I didn't use dynamics back before a few years ago so haven't looked at earlier times.

The dynamic model suggests a top about next June 23ish, but static model says about early Aug.

Since I have a 1884 cal cycle due Jul 6 that is going to be interesting.

Don't see how all can work unless a crash, which he actually suggests.

Anyway, like all ideas, there is some merit there but needs to be considered in the light of other indications.

You can take the tin hat off now :-)