fairfax poll better for gillard, page-3

The two party preferred stakes are such that, on any given day were an election to be held, Labor would win. I recall the Howard days, where prior to an election, the Coalition had similar margins, and would win - because on election day voters weigh up the opposition, and vote with what they know, and reject the unknown - which in the case of the current opposition is quite dramatic.

Abbott would have to be replaced if the opposition were to gain government.

IMHO