NCM 0.00% $23.35 newcrest mining limited

precious metals up strongly , page-13

  1. 22,849 Posts.
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    Miners, particuluarly gold miners should import CEO's and senior managers from
    industrials rather than promote managers from the mining culture.

    Industrials realise the need to grow EPS and pay out good dividends while
    the mining industry is conditioned to not paying dividends and cap raising
    when the make a mistake.

    Any goldminer who has real costs over $1200/oz ( by real costs I mean
    ((Average price achieved minus NPAT) divided by no of ozs sold )* should review
    their operations and , if neccessary, scale back to achieve this.

    Over the forward life of most mines, the POG will likely drop under $1200/oz
    and CEO's and boards should be ensuring that investors funds are not at
    risk over the longer term.

    i know that the higher cost miners give more volitility to SP which is fine and dandy for traders but not for long term investors.

    Cheers
    Moorookamick

    * If we apply this genuine cost/oz to NCM for fin year 2011-2012 we get:
    NPAT.................$1.117 bln
    No of ozs sold...2.286 mil
    Profit per oz......$486
    Av price realised ..$1650
    therefore real cost is $1164/oz
    Granted, last year was nor a good year for NCM but by this formula
    NCM, IMO, will have to get its real costs down below $1000 to be profitable in the long term. They can do this with the current ramp-ups and conservation of cash with less cock-ups.
    MM


 
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