Not everything can be reduced down to a thought experiment, Jantimot. If it could we would have solved all the scientific questions by now.
For rising clouds, I'm sure if a temperature at a certain altitude isn't low enough to cause precipitation then there will be an altitude not far away where it will be cold enough and humid enough for precipitation to occur. Remember, there is more water vapour in the atmosphere, so it is possible that 100% RH could be reached at a slightly higher temperature.
I also think this is another point of climate science where no one here is an expert so we need to defer to the real experts rather than the armchair and/or though experiment experts.
The fact is there are peer reviewed papers from the 80's that were predicting increases in rainfall extremes in some places due to warming, as we are seeing now.
Re: "why haven't the ocean levels dropped?" Well they did, more or less. The rate of SLR was reduced during the massive (from memory) 2010 Pakistan flooding. Do you not remember this discussion???
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