scenario analysis highlights return potential, page-21

FB, me old fishy on a dishy,

Ah, yes, "pay off". The old "pay off" question.

Lemme see...how to answer this one.

Here goes:

I have no idea whatsoever when this one will "pay off". Unfortunately I'm not in the "pay off" guessing business.

That's the domain of the really clever cookies.

I'm merely in the low-brow business of intrinsic value determination.

For the precise timing of when the "share price" follows the intrinsic value you need to consult people who are way, way smarter than I am.

To prove how dumb I am I own lots of shares that don't go up at 45 degree angles all the time.

Indeed for long periods at a time the likes of ARP, SKE, BRG, AUB, SGN, KOV, IFL, MMS, PRT, RHC, SAI, IAG, DLX, WEs and WOW all looked like for weeks - and even months - at a time looked like they were....how did you put it..."hasbeens".

Like I said...low-brow stuff, just olde worlde buy-and-hold and wait for share price to catch up with intrinsic value. Admittedly boring and uninspiring.


As an aside, I am however, somewhat curious as to your keenness to engage with me.

You are either cycber-stalking me or deep down you, too, are really after a copy of my TPI model but don't know how to go about requesting it.

Don't be too shy...just ask.

(Although I must warn you it is probably too simplistic for your standards of investment sophisticaton. For example, it doesn't contain any output that tells what the share price will be at any given time on any given day, which is obviously a minimum requirement).


Prudent (but dumb) Investing

Cam55 (The-Knucklehead-Investor-Who-Buys-Stocks-Whose-Share-Prices-Then-Proceed-To-Do-Sweet-Fanny-Adam-For-A-Full-Month)


PS. Wait 'till you see me post about my latest cigar butt investment that I am currently acquiring. You will thenhave all the eveidence you need to confirm that I have no idea what I'm doing.