You are looking through the rear view mirror & not through the windscreen. and your view has already been factored into the SP months ago.
The market looks forward and if NCM meets guidance (2.3 mil ozs for current FY as stated by NCM in its ann.) then the second half will have to be close to 700K ozs per Qtr.
Annualise this and you get 2.8 mil ozs P/A which is enough to send EPS close to $2 at current POG.
Multiply this forward EPS by a nominal 16 P/E and you have $32 per share.
IMO, the only question is when Mr Market moves and it looks like he has made a significant move today. The Mar qtr report should open eyes and, IMO, the June Qtr results should take the SP over $30.
Cheers moorookamick
NCM Price at posting:
$24.35 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held