Ben, accept your view but lets disect these 5 items..
-customer acceptance - a given otherwise someone has been telling porkies. Minerals are minerals, pretty basic stuff.
-first lot of payments - nice, but until profitable simply receiving $ from a customer has no upside.
-phase 2 complete - close anyway, so a given. Without customers it's a white elephant.
-full production ramp up - this would be a good sign based on NC stating that he would not ramp up without demand. May or may not be profitable as he may want to squeeze Moly.
-regular cashflow $$$M - again if not profitable enough to cover COP and general overheads then this by itself does nothing. A good sign for sure, but not anything to use as rocket fuel.
So, IMO non of these by themselves or even in combination are a certain bet to kick the SP up to the levels that some are expecting. Full production ramp up may be the one that does move the SP in a step change fashion, if you can take NCs word.
We need to see substantial bottom line profits, or at least a good statistical chance of same to get the SP above $1.
And of course once it gets to $1 to $1.20 then the additional 8.5 dilution can kick in from Mt Kel.
Don't bet your house based on these 5 points.
LYC Price at posting:
61.0¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Not Held
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