1. Just a great excuse to trash the SP with more so called bad news (just delays), play it on the way down, a bit on the way up and it will still be interesting to see who now buys in now ?
2. Read Tuskan’s post (thanks) and others similar re Albion process and tweaking the CIL,
IT WILL COME BACK UP from the current 50% at least to 75% if not close to 100% of nameplate.
And at risk of boring some, some basic figures below, they will likely survive quite well with little or none of the standby cash being used and if you go through to end even 75% of nameplate 75% of nameplate once Cil tweaked, it’s still $ 20,017.800 (About $20 mil less $11 mil costs still leaves $9 mil/quarter)
Using the following previous statement from ASX 23/4/13 :
Design capacity is expected to be reached within four to six months after which monthly production of approximately 5,800 oz Au and 52,500 oz Ag should be achieved, at currently budgeted operating costs of around US$337 per oz Au equivalent (Gold Equivalent)
Current 50% Calculations (Please check the maths) would appear to be :
Design Capacity 5,800 oz Au / 50% = 2,900 oz / Month Gold
50% Capacity Quarterly = Multiply by 3 = 8,700 oz Gold
Design Capacity 52,500 oz Ag / 50% = 26,250 oz /Month Silver
50% Capacity Quarterly = Multiply by 3 = 78,750 oz Silver
Current Gold Price : $1,606.00 oz
Current Silver Price $ 28.76 oz
Gold Equivalent Price For Silver ($1,606.00 divided by $28.76 = 55.84)
Hence Divided Number Silver Ounces By 55.84 : The result then = Oz of Gold Equivalent :
Ounces of Silver Per Quarter 78,750 Divide By 55.84 = 1,410.27 oz Gold Equivalent
Therefore Ounces of Gold Per Quarter 8,700
Add Oz Of Gold Equivalent Per Quarter 1,410
Total Of Gold/Gold Equivalent/Quarter 10,110 oz
Currently At $ 1,320 (Only that sold in hedging)
Total Value Per Quarter $ 13,345,520 (Over 13 mil / quarter)
Less Costs $11 mil per quarter, leaves around $2 mil.
IF : it then goes up to name plate it becomes :
CALCULATIONS (Please check the maths)
Design Capacity 5,800 oz Au 52,500 oz Ag Per Month
X 3 (3 Months) 17,400 oz Au 157,500 oz Ag Per Quarter
Current Gold Price : $1,606.00 oz
Current Silver Price $ 28.76 oz
Gold Equivalent Price For Silver ($1,606.00 divided by $28.76 = 55.84)
Hence Divided Number Silver Ounces By 55.84 : The result then = Oz of Gold Equivalent
Ounces of Silver Per Quarter 157,500 Divide By 55.84 = 2,820.55 oz Gold Equivalent
Therefore Ounces of Gold Per Quarter 17,400
Add Oz Of Gold Equivalent Per Quarter 2,820
Total Of Gold/Gold Equivalent/Quarter 20,220 oz
Currently At $1,320 (Only that sold in hedging)
Total Value Per Quarter $26,690,400 (Over 26 mil / quarter)
Less Costs $11 mil cost per quarter, leaves around $14 mil.
BUT : even if it only gets to 75% of nameplate once Cil tweaked, it’s still $ 20,017.800 (About $20 mil less $11 mil costs still leaves $9 mil/quarter)
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0 | 0 | 0.000 |
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