I am trying to get an idea of what WIM150 may be worth to AZC shareholders, so I have done a very rough calculation based on the value applied to AZC's sale of 35% of Mindarie project to Orient Zirconic. The sale price of $11.5m indicates a total value for Mindarie of approx $30m.
According to AZC's resource estimates in 2008, Mindarie had a measured & inferred resource of approx 170Mt @ 3.1-3.6% HM.
WIM150 by comparison has a target size of 750Mt at approx 3.9% HM. This is according to AZC presentation and a project summary from 'Exploration Management Services' (Refer to URL below)
http://www.explorems.com.au/projects/wim150/
This would indicate to me that WIM150 is potentially worth upwards of $200m. This ignores the value of plant & equipment in the Mindarie sale, but I would think the depreciated value at the end of mine life is not worth considering. This places a much greater value on the WIM150 asset than APG received from Orient for their %20 share(7.5mil)
At current estimates. The loan facility from DCM was about $65m at Dec 2012, and by the end of 2013, operating costs will add about another $15m ($10m operating cash flow + $5m in interest on loan from DCM)
As I stated previously, by the time the BFS is completed and regulatory approvals finalised, AZC could have debt of $80-100m.
My simple maths means that our 80% share could be worth $80m+,
With 1.5B shares on issue, $80m equates to about 5c a share. Maybe I can double my money on the shares I bought for 2.7c!!
My valuation may be complete rubbish, but I am more than happy for someone to do more research and put a more accurate figure on it.
Cheers Dave
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