It depends what type of certainty you mean .
There has been so little modern drilling onshore that it's not possible to tell yet which (if any !) are going to be the most economic basins .
Once that has been established the money will flow in .
Look at Petrofrontier and Statoil in the Southern Georgina , Falcon and Hess in the Beetaloo or Linc in the Arkaringa .
All of them have enormous unconventional in place estimates . If any of them achieve impressive liquids flow rates it is going to make dry gas plays look plain Jane .
Perhaps the Wiso can do that for CTP .
I don't want to see any more J.V.'s on similar terms to the last two .
If CTP can get sufficient revenue to hold their breaths long enough then there is a good chance it will come good .
Looks like a waiting game to me .
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