SRM 0.00% 36.5¢ sierra mining limited

very high grade open deposits. , page-22

  1. 12,056 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 3146
    here are my own numbers.

    Given the grade and gold EQ sums, i see somewhere around $200 per ton profit for a DSO product. This figure is based on the mineral eq conversion and rounded off. I reckon the mining costs up there to be very very low. Labor costs, close to port etc, means this could produce an open cut DSO at port for sub $50 at a guess.
    now just do some numbers based on there 63% of the project and expected tonnes shipped pa.

    lets just say they move 250,000tpa x $200 x 63% (srm's cut) = $31.5m profit.
    500,000tpa = $63m profit
    and 1m tpa = $126m pa
    This is why we dont need a lot of tonnes to get a 10-20 year mine life. This is based on Mabilo only. This is also based on pay dirt down to 200m, as the rest is still owned by SRM. I dont know how many tonnes they could move up there, but these numbers are fine for a sealed road close to port imo.
    These are the reasons why i like this project, its simply to formulate some sort of values and costs. The project should not require a processing plant, and major overheads.

    Now you just have to work out your PE's. Given the market is hard work, i am saying a PE of 3 with mine life and a proven concept. I am trying to be conservative.

    On those numbers. the valuations for Mabilo alone, work out something like this. i have allowed for the stock to be fully diluted out to 300m shares and enough cash to bring this on.


    base case on only shipping 250k pa = $94.5m valuation or approx 31c per share.

    500k pa = 62c per share

    1m tpa = $1.24 per share.

    You can make up your own PE and tonnages, but you can see why the current share price is a well hidden joke on my numbers.
    Then work out what Bunawan could be worth on top.

    All this aside, i reckon the stock should trade higher as things develop. i tend to buy things and hold them. I also tend to add to the position as news flow proves the concept. I have added to my own holdings several times over the last few months with this pull back etc.
    BUNAWAN is another top up point.

    Please dyor.
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add SRM (ASX) to my watchlist

Currently unlisted public company.

arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.