EXR 0.00% 15.0¢ elixir energy limited

1.20, page-8

  1. 8,996 Posts.
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    I have heard but have not seen (being a non subscriber), that Stock-analysis have a value of $12/ sh for a Jaguar discovery using a prospective resource of 250mmbls
    Using say a 10% chance of success, that would equate to $1.20 risked value/ sh.
    EXR value a discovery at a whopping $28 / sh

    For example
    If you go with the 250mmbls prospective resource scenario
    -use $11/ brl for North Sea offshore oil
    -EXR retains 40% share
    -($2.5mil drilling cost for unrisked valuation)
    -10% chance of success
    -89mil shares fully diluted including discovery shares

    You will come up with roughly $12 /sh unrisked and
    1.20 /sh risked.
    In other words, it's not outlandish to expect the stock to be trading above $1.00 pre drill imo
 
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