Weekly Fundamental and Technical Analysis Prospects - Week Starting 23rd Dec 2013 (No. 97)
Here’s this week’s FA and TA List. The newer items first and those carried forward from last week towards back of list (some of the items from last week have a time horizon of more that one week). All listed market caps are undiluted (and do not include escrowed shares) (Note: Max time for any entry on list will be 4 weeks after which time it will be removed).
Important Note: Remember just because it appears on the list does not necessarily mean it will rise in price... it may actually fall or do nothing. So it is critical that you perform detailed research on each stock first and make your own mind up to whether invest or not. I suggest you run a stop-loss at all times when trading/investing. How tight your stops are depends on your threshold to risk and financial pain. Lastly I take no responsibility for the accuracy of the information provided as I do not have the time to research all the facts that have been provided. Best of Luck.!
Weekly Fundamental Analysis Prospects ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TSV - Oil and gas explorer in Australia,
23/12/2013
MC 16 mil,Cash 4milPrice mover, outstanding sales deal of Canadian assets which would make there current cah position something in the order of $20 mil. Plenty of rumours flying around that the deal is to complete before year end and the trading of the stock is starting to reflect this. Also imminent ann regarding Alcoa's continued funding of the Warro projects drilling in the first half of 2014, two wells back to back is expected. Alcoa still have 50 mil to contribute to fulfill all of there commitments on this project. Poster: V8 (STT Accuracy: 29% - Ranking No.17 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$20.2m)
IMC - Oral Immunotherapy Biotech Company,
23/12/2013
Given the market's irrational love of second rallies on heavily traded liquid tech stocks, and the fundamental underpricing of the Phase IIB clearance on IMM124E for Nash (leaky gut), along with the revised direct marketing approach of its Travelan product, there seems to be enough reason to speculate that this could test new recent highs of 2c soon. Poster: Mowibble (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$6.2m)
AUQ - ZInc and Copper mine, Saudi Arabia,
23/12/2013
MC $15m,Cash position $6m , With recent movements in base metal prices adding over $100m in bottom line value to their flagship project, it is probable that today’s test of a 61% retrace on the share price is a good shot at a short term entry. Poster: Mowibble (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$15.5m)
LRS - Iron Ore, Iron Sands Copper Gold explorer,
23/12/2013
uado is an Iron sands project in Peru that seems the best to try do a FA value on , it is about 25 km from the largest steel smelter in the country , is near the major port of Chimbote and on a major highway . The JORC showed Heavy metal grades of around 1.2b tonnes at 6% that justify finding a JV partner for the 2 core minerals indicated within the JORC , ( Magnetite 26% /$200 a tonne and Andusalite 25% /$400 a tonne ) .The company received a key approval on Friday but the stock ignored it trading about 100,000 shares On the Guado numbers alone if you mined just this small part of their land bank , at 30m tonnes per annum of production for 40 years you would get about 18 million tonnes of Magnetite and about the same of Andusalite or approx $200 m per annum of revenue for 40 years . At a market cap of $14m these numbers seem ludicrous , happy to hear The reasons why it is so unloved but also happy to add LRS to my STT buy side at this price for a Xmas re rate.My 5 reasons for thinking it is worth trying to catch this falling knife are The JV on ILLO is positive , the news on Guado is long awaited and positive , the MD signed a further 3 year extension recently ( why the board would do that if he is a dud I dont know ) , they successfully sold mariella at a profit and got more cash in to fund themselves , and finally for a baby stock like LRS to be in business with RIO on their Brazilian assets seems enough reason for me to continue to try catch the falling knife on LRS . Poster: Firsova (STT Accuracy: 35.5% - Ranking No.14 ) Click Here for originating post
Is extremely undervalued and could be making some big moves...towards ChinaShareholders BuyingDate Shareholder Previous (%) New (%) Shares Traded03/04/2013 Grand Orient Capital Co Ltd -- 17.49 -- 11,000,00003/04/2013 Sinotrans Investment Co Ltd -- 17.48 -- 11,000,[email protected]. Huge trump card to be given such a piece of the company. http://www.sinotransone.com/Sinotransgroup.html is a monster of a company in terms of shipping. They (RIS)currently have up to 15,724,203 new Equity Securities available to the highest bidder (until 22 May 2014). No company presentation, and its too quiet for mine...They have $10M in the bank. (Market Cap $7M)and if Sinotrans decide to take this company, they will. This new issue gives them 30% and the MD dilutes to 28%. They are probably in negotiations with the Chinese on a price that will please LTH's (mostly Malaysian i guess, King Leo and on show and a few others who were onto it.)And I wouldn't be surprised if Grand Orient Capital draw up the takeover....And for the first tim e in nearly seven years an RIS share will be bought on the Australian market for 0.16cBy Christmas I reckon. Before the Chinese get here......Long until 22 May, 2014 Poster: Bozleyboo (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$7.5m)
PMY - Gold in Colombia,
18/12/2013
Pacifico (PMY) is out of a trading halt today having locked away a very exciting licence where artisanal workings have taken place. Trading up 33% at 2 cents. Due Diligence has taken place with numbers to come out from underground channel sampling:10 m at 64.7 g/t AU10m at 18.5 g/t AU10m at 17.9 g/t AU10m at 15.4 g/t AU Market Cap at 2 cents: $7.8 million Cash : $1.5 million Colombian base and precious metals exploration. 2 year tenement moratorium recently lifted. Pacifico management identified over 2500km2 of highly prospective targets. Currently 2 projects - Tarso and Urrao. Looking at picking up two more tenements in the near term. (The first has just been acquired - and the most exciting!)Management: Chairman Richard Monti. Formally MD of Azimuth Resources (AZH) that got taken out by Troy (TRY) for $188mn in March 2013. This is his new project. Azimuth was a gold exploration play in Guyana so he knows South America very well. Colombia: Huge Copper/Gold in Chile and Peru but Colombia has had less than 5% explored .45% of the worlds copper production is from Andean Porphyry deposits In the past 5 years, 75 mn ounces of Gold has been defined in Resources in Colombia. Poster: Spooner41015 (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$8.6m)
CCZ - Copper in Chile,
17/12/2013
Stats:Cash - approx $3.5mMarket cap - $4.2m, EV $0.7mShare price - 1c (same as recent capital raise)Shares on issue - 424m and no stupid low options :)Today they started drilling the Resguardo prospect which is a copper porphyry project. Previous small scale high grade (2%+ copper) mining had occurred here and they are now sinking 2 x 250m holes vertically into the breccia pipe. What will happen if they announce good lengths of high grade copper I wonder? Is there a good chance of this based on the previous mining here and the fact that this is a brechia pipe? I think so. Will they find good grades then go deeper into the actual porphyry with diamond drilling? I hope so. Theyve stated that chalcopyrite and bornite is evident underground here. In addition to Resguardo there are 3 other copper/gold and copper/molybdenum large scale projects in their portfolio. I guess the best comparison of a company who is well advanced but with a similar focus would be Hot Chilli (ASX:HCH).IMO big potential for some great res ults in the short term and little downside given the EV. 424m shares on issue is not too bad given they've completely changed the company. IMO $3.5m raised shows a pretty high level of confidence. Will these shares put a brake on any price movement? I would say not, given that other stocks with even lower priced issues of shares have rallied hard in recent weeks. Currently under the radar but with some shares available to buy. IMO liquidity will improve with price increases. Poster: Prestonian (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$4.2m)
SUR - Oil explorer USA,
16/12/2013
Cash 20 mil MC 80 mil. Price Catalyst Want an opportunity to invest at the same price as Gina Rhineheart and Hancock prospecting. These guys just cap raised from her at 3c which is what you can buy for today.3 Wells going down now, with the first expected at TD next week, prospects surrounded some massive results from industry leaders such as EOG20,000 net acres in JV with some of the big names in the unconventional space and that sort of acreage is enough to see this at a Billion dollar MC plus on decent results over the next couple of months. A very big name board with Prof Ian Plimer and Alexander Downer. Poster: V8 (STT Accuracy: 29% - Ranking No.17 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$70.6m)
CTR - Oil explorer/producer in Guatemala.,
16/12/2013
Aztam-5 spudding is set to occur this week, which may trigger a price rise. Also, there has been promotion of the company via ads on HC stating that it could 5-bag in the coming year. Aztam-4 is still producing 120bopd on a restricted choke with no water, with the aim to unleash it fully in the near future. Poster: Ricdan1985 (STT Accuracy: 26.1% - Ranking No.19 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$17.8m)
PYC - Biotech,
16/12/2013
10mil market cap, SPP in play at 1.5c, fully underwritten. its Peptide Therapeutics has been backup by big names and in big play. Poster: Littlecorn (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
GTE - Copper,Gold & Nickel in Kazakhstan and Australia,
12/12/2013
Currently exploring Copper in Kazakhstan with 50:50 JV agreement with Kazak Government ( State owned enterprise ) and GTE. Maiden JORC will come out in first quarter of 2014. So far the copper exploration results are one of the best sets I have seen in a long time. They also have a JV agreement with WSA ( WSA earning 70%) to explore Nickel project in Australia. I have a conservative price target of 35 to 40 cents by end of first quarter of 2014. Poster: Vkumar (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$13.1m)
OEL - Oil producer, Phillipines,
12/12/2013
Mcap $100mCash $20mBHP CREDIT $27mproducing 4000-4500b/day x $100 = $400,000 min a day or $146million a year revenue.PE less than 1SP 15c by end of march. Imo A great Prospect in Tanzania. A farm in being negotiated for SC55Well the next 2 Qrt Ann's will be very interesting especially March Qrtr, should have figures like this i suppose. You wont be able to keep a lid on this then. Poster: Stefan41 (STT Accuracy: 14.3% - Ranking No.23 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$111m)
MSR - Gold exploration in Kyrgyzstan.,
12/12/2013
An annc was released earlier today stating that the Kyrgyzstan Govt is backing the Shambesai gold mining project, giving it the backing and support it requires. This comes amidst the country not having the strongest track record about letting foreign companies in. A capital raising exercise is currently under way, which is set to end on Friday. Poster: Ricdan1985 (STT Accuracy: 26.1% - Ranking No.19 ) Click Here for originating post
Cash 9mil, MC 60milImminent spud of Eagleford well in oil window, closely placed competitor has just released news of a test well with IP14 of 750 barrels a day.SXA have approx 10k acres in this play with 900 million barrels of oil. Imminent spud of Sleeping giant well, dry gas play in North Dakota, expecting dry gas production cost of about $2 gj so will be handsomely profitable at current prices of over $4 a gj. 145k acres. Imminent frac completion of Illinois basin well, its a Backen look alike also the "Stockhouse" website has a local farmer posting daily updates on activity at the well plus surrounding wells. 50k acres. Poster: V8 (STT Accuracy: 29% - Ranking No.17 ) Click Here for originating post
Rounding base initial uptrend confirmed with follow through of the next leg up late last week, if price and volume are confirming (which they are ) and this is indeed in a hot sector who am I to disagree with what the rest are saying. Poster: Pilsner (STT Accuracy: 22.2% - Ranking No.20 ) Click Here for originating post
BOL - Mining Services Construction Cranes Australia Wide,
20/12/2013
The Mining Services Sector has been absolutely trashed lately but in the last few days has been showing a turnaround. As BOL is very well correlated (r2=0.83 with Mining Services sector it would probably be valid that it turns also. A correlation of 1.0 is a perfect correlation. You can see how it has held up during the last 4 days on above average volume. Possibly due to Commonwealth bank buying as they just put a notice in. Analyst targets if you can believe them are also around 21c. See Charts in Link below Poster: Bonehead1000 (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
Price has retraced from a 2.9c high a few months ago to close a 1.2c gap earlier this week. Now, it is primed for a rise back up to 1.6c, where support is, before passing 2c, 2.5c and meeting resistance at 3c. Poster: Ricdan1985 (STT Accuracy: 26.1% - Ranking No.19 ) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$17.8m)
ALT - Biotech,
16/12/2013
less than 20Mil market cap, recently successfully completed CR largely to directors and the underwriter at 1.7c. directors own about 20% of the register. recently retreated and retested breakout line of 2.3c with no vol. with trial start of its feature product Peri Coach near the corner, the last three trading days' volume seems to suggest it will go for at least 100% run from 2.3 as it did after its cap raising. 4.2c is 3 years high, 4.6c is 100%, that's a reasonable 35mil market cap. it certainly wont stop at 3.2c. Poster: Littlecorn (STT Accuracy: Unknown) Click Here for originating post
(Mcap:$14m)
MSR - Gold exploration in Kyrgyzstan.,
12/12/2013
Company has been smashed SP-wise, but the highest volume of the year was traded today, moving 17%. Expect some sort of retrace before moving up. However, there is little being sold. Target is approx 7-8c based on chart. Poster: Ricdan1985 (STT Accuracy: 26.1% - Ranking No.19 ) Click Here for originating post
