Hi cortinaboy - I have stated an opinion, and it is based not on complete factual knowledge, but my opinionated guesses.
On my first point, I am already assuming that the primary endpoint (safety) will be a given (i.e. no safety issues).
On the second point, my opinionated 'inevitability' about the US Army trial success comes from an observation that they are funding a trial for mild TBI whilst already conducting a moderate to severe TBI for at least the last 2-3 years. My opinion again is that they wouldn't release funds for 2 trials on the same drug (when the first trial isn't over) if they didn't have some 'confidence' with it.
You provide a great balance on this forum by being objective and stating evidence based probabilities - I am one of the posters because of whom we will need you to provide that balance.
For me, commentary without speculative exuberance for 'blue-sky' stocks would just not be exciting enough :)
Regards
Jim
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