Ok then janitmot, by your logic I could have 2 companies - both with earnings of 100m in FY15.
Company A has a 2 year mine life, and company B has a 20 year mine life. If you apply a P/E of 10 to them both then you have a very funny idea of value.
So why are you trying to apply a normal metric? If you want to value RSG, do a proper DCF that takes into account mine life, evolution of grade, remediation costs, capex and all the other stuff that it takes to value a miner. Once you've done this, you can then plug in a price and see what future gold price it is discounting. Or you can run a monte carlo analysis and make a good guess at what it should be worth. Consensus from the brokers was about 60c before yesterday's news.
Saying sentiment affects share prices is like saying weather affects umbrella sales - and far from unique to gold miners.
My view on the valuation of RSG is that it is worth less than it was yesterday morning - their FY15 guidance is significantly worse than expected. Unfortunately for me, I've run into one of those unpredictable sentiment-based gold stock rallies you were mentioning (as the commodity itself is flat on yesterday's close) - As to the rest, I don't really care.
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Last
71.0¢ |
Change
0.025(3.65%) |
Mkt cap ! $1.538B |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
70.0¢ | 72.5¢ | 69.5¢ | $7.170M | 10.07M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 2877 | 78.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
67.0¢ | 142934 | 4 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
8 | 104808 | 0.750 |
2 | 10670 | 0.745 |
9 | 163903 | 0.740 |
3 | 21277 | 0.735 |
7 | 23628 | 0.730 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.670 | 142934 | 4 |
0.675 | 119092 | 4 |
0.680 | 6359 | 1 |
0.685 | 5347 | 1 |
0.690 | 167692 | 14 |
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