The Life Sciences Report: 17/3/15, page-19

Seriously?

Your methodology is absurd.

We have to look at commonsense probabilities, just as the risk v reward calculation is not something that can be quantified just by maths.

HC is the largest stock forum in Australia.

The shareprice hasn't returned to previous highs.

It is more than probable that holders might well come in seeking information and informed discussion. They won't necessarily post when they do.

They see a barrage of negative comments from traders and shorters?

They sell and don't come back. It's all too hard for them. They run out of patience. The SP is manipulated to enable cheap accumulation (as you admitted only recently shorted stocks enable you to accumulate cheaply) but they don't understand that only a stock that is valuable would attract that kind of attention.

This is not just a feasible scenario, it's quite probable.

Stop pretending otherwise.