Snapshot

I have compiled the following summary according to the official sources (mainly ASX announcements) and my understandings.

1. PROFIT ESTIMATES:



2. CASH FLOW:

3. FMG - Break even price for 2016 financial year:




4. LOAN PROFILE (Including new issued US$2.3b):




5. BROKER DATA:

During the period from 3 April 2015 to 21 April 2015,
Net Buy:
- Goldman Sashs, bought 9.99 millions shares
- Credit Suissse, bought 12.36 millions shares
- Macquire, bought 6.05 millions shares
- Morgan Stanley, bought 3.35 million shares
- Citi Global, bought 0.41 million shares

Net Sell:
- RBC, sold 7.13 million shares
- ShaSto, sold 5.3 million shares
- UBS, sold 5.02 million shares
- Deushe, sold 2.48 million shares
- Merrill Lynch, sold 2.24 million shares






6. IRON ORE PRICE:


6.1 Five years (2010-2015)

High: US$191.70/dmt in February 2011
Low: US$46.70/dmt in April 2015




6.2 Historical price chart (2005 - 2012)

In 2008, iron ore price peaked over US$200/t,
then drop to around US$55/t




6.3  Iron ore price in real terms (1885 - 2007)






7. PRICE FORECAST

2015 Average Iron Ore Price:

CitiGroup: US$36/t
Goldman Sachs: US$52/t
HBSC: US$54/t
JP Morgan: US$50/t
World Bank: $63/t

Accaeric: US$60/t


GOOD LUCK TO ALL!

(Please note the above summary is not financial advice, do your own research as always)