Spreadsheets, I use them daily.
I don't use them for forecasting / DCF analysis very often but I can say (IMO) the DCF done by Edison and for that matter CNE "times" the CAPEX cash flows in sync with production ie to get an IRR in the twenties at $70/barrel. If the CAPEX cash flows occur prior to production ie when setting up the infrastructure, then the IRR is more like the teens.
This leads to me to the idea that if COP decides to exercise the operator option it may end up financing the set up CAPEX and then reimburse itself from production cash flow. FAR who won't have enough money to go to production and CNE who also might be cash strapped will likely pay for their share of CAPEX by transferring some of their interest to COP. Of course if COP can afford it they may just buy both out.
So FAR could end up fully funded into production but with a much smaller interest. I'd hazard a guess at around 8% if the recoverable resource is about a bill barrels.
I could add further speculative analysis but I really can't be bothered.
IMO etc
- Forums
- ASX - By Stock
- FAR
- KOSMOS spreadsheet valuation and market cap
KOSMOS spreadsheet valuation and market cap, page-23
-
- There are more pages in this discussion • 3 more messages in this thread...
You’re viewing a single post only. To view the entire thread just sign in or Join Now (FREE)
Featured News
Add FAR (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
|
|||||
Last
46.5¢ |
Change
0.010(2.20%) |
Mkt cap ! $42.97M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
45.5¢ | 47.0¢ | 45.5¢ | $116.3K | 247.8K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 22574 | 46.5¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
48.0¢ | 10000 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 22574 | 0.465 |
2 | 13100 | 0.455 |
1 | 1822 | 0.450 |
1 | 50000 | 0.425 |
1 | 33894 | 0.410 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.480 | 10000 | 1 |
0.485 | 10000 | 1 |
0.490 | 30000 | 1 |
0.495 | 50000 | 1 |
0.500 | 110000 | 2 |
Last trade - 15.00pm 17/09/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
Featured News
FAR (ASX) Chart |