TON 9.09% 1.0¢ triton minerals ltd

Ann: Triton Minerals Webcast, page-30

  1. 1,069 Posts.
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    Hi TG,

    One of the keys to good investing is buying low and selling high and also seeing comparable values in the industry and broader macro factors.
    This topic shouldn’t really be coming up on our forum from you, every few days. I thought we discussed this a few weeks back
    http://hotcopper.com.au/threads/addressing-recent-concerns.2608604/page-4?post_id=16110012
    http://hotcopper.com.au/threads/addressing-recent-concerns.2608604/page-27?post_id=16112020

    1) Broader commodity hit
    6 month movement of
    Santos – down 40%

    http://www.google.com/finance?q=ASX:sto&ei=mbAQVqDUGI-U0AT7zILgCA
    Glencore – down 66%

    http://www.google.com/finance?q=LON:GLEN&ei=3bAQVqmYOcuY0AT28Z0w
    BHP – down 25%

    http://www.google.com/finance?q=ASX:BHP&ei=7bAQVpHcJdaL0ATPgYTwBw
    Barrick Gold – down 45%

    http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:ABX&ei=BrEQVumqHtaL0ATPgYTwBw
    Anglo American – down 45%

    http://www.google.com/finance?q=LON:AAL&ei=HLEQVvmQF4eQ0gT_uLGgDg
    As already explained TON’s fall is part of graphite sector fall which is part of broader commodity fall

    Graphite sector
    TON SYR LMB KNL MNS MOZ MTA TLG BUX LML AXE SER MRF WKT IXR BBR
    People can check within the graphit sector for themselves as many stocks have had sharp fluctuations (all explained 2-3 weeks backs)


    2) Movement from March

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5
    0   2-Mar 16-Oct Diff % gain / (loss)
    1 MNS 28.5 38.5 10 35.1%
    2 TON 15 21.5 6.5 43.3%
    3 SYR 4.46 3.12 -1.34 -30.0%

    March 1st was a Sunday. So 1st trading day is Monday. As can be seen,TON is the best performing stock among the super pits from March. Not much to complain about really

    3) 2 year movement


    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5
    0   Dec 13, 2013 16-Oct Diff % gain / (loss)
    1 MNS 20 38.5 18.5 92.5%
    2 TON 5.2 21.5 16.3 313.5%
    3 SYR 2.55 3.12 0.57 22.4%

    TON is one of the best performers over 2 years too, TG. We have been mentioning often that TON is a fast developing company gettting more and more recognition

    4) Recent weakness in graphite sector

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5
    0   Aug 27, 2015 16-Oct Diff % gain / (loss)
    1 MNS 53.5 38.5 -15 -28.0%
    2 TON 25 21.5 -3.5 -14.0%
    3 SYR 2.82 3.12 0.3 10.6%

    TON has not done too bad considering recent weakness in graphite sector. SYR got hit quite hard recently and recently recovered. MNS also seems to be in a sharp downtrend; so some weakness across super pits seems to be the case.

    MNS obviously got hit very hard after falling from almost 60 (note that if I had taken the 58-60 figure, it would have shown an even bigger hit). I did mention in our recent discussion that “let us see how long they manage to hold their gains” if you remember me saying so. TONners should hope that any further weakness from MNS does not spill over

    So yeah, TON has not done too bad after all.

    5) Peer imbalance

    Buy low and sell high - a timeless strategy. Selling and talking about selling at this level does not make much sense to me, at least.

    TON’s diluted market cap is something like 90 million as I just showed yesterday.

    MNS was around 250 million a short while back. They also came up with even more shares recently. I’ve not calculated and seen the latest fig.
    SYR’s undiluted market cap is around 723 million.Take into account dilution and it maybe even more - maybe close to 800 million.
    So TON is clearly the safest option still. It is not just the fundamentals but cheap on every metric.

    6) Conclusion

    So yeah, TG – TON seems quite safe to me as explained above.
    Other companies also have their ups and downs which is part of investing in stocks.
    We've talked lots of fundamentals. So, I guess, there is no need to go into that again.
 
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Last
1.0¢
Change
-0.001(9.09%)
Mkt cap ! $15.68M
Open High Low Value Volume
1.0¢ 1.0¢ 1.0¢ $97 9.685K

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
1 32949 1.0¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
1.1¢ 171697 2
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Last trade - 10.19am 09/08/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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