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TV2U The Future Growth Of Our New Entity - (TVU), page-125

  1. 3,400 Posts.
    LOL - easy on the estimates mate
    Lets get to 20c first by Christmas 2015 then we can work up to $5 lol


    Very rough calculations! and distorted back of envelope figures at best !!

    Seriously if we were to get to $5 in 4 years - we would probably need to have 50 million subscribers all paying $9 a month
    = $450 million per month revenue
    = $5.4 Billion Annual revenue
    - 33% Operating profit
    = $1.87 Billion
    -50% EBITDA
    =900 MILLION
    = NPAT (Net profit after tax) of something like $700M per Annum

    $700 M/ 1.3 B shares = .53c earnings per share x P.E (Price to earnings industry multiple of 10) considering tech stocks work of earnings multiple of x 15 so I'm being conservative which would give us = $5.30 share

    Alot of tech companies work on the "mark to market mentality" i.e. future profits of the company

    So how hard is it to get 50 million subscribers in 4-5 years??
    or break it down to 10 million a year
    Well China deal could bring in $10-20 million in that period alone

    With other deals we could collectively get 50 million subscribers over 5 years if they are genuinely "first mover" technology and by the way they signing deals which In my belief will come to fruition and become "binding" once the Capital raising is announced as successful and complete then who knows???- as stated many times - if they get $6 million CR which they state they already have then we get to open KL hub and access to 150 channels- Boom !!!
    - shareprice goes nuts !!!

    so over time yes its possible and considering Netflix have 60 million subscribers and a $44 billion market cap

    If TV2U had a share price of $4 we would have a market cap of approx 5.2 billion or 1/9th of the size of Netflix

    Putting into context NETFLIX is BIG - so perhaps they could buy us out for $5 share


    Schu
    Last edited by Schumacher: 18/11/15
 
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