All valid argument, although some other issues to keep in mind:
1. Given that retail shops generally sell 75% of total yearly sales in the xmas trading period; Seally would have to have placed orders for their "value added ajx treated product" early in the prior qtr and by latest definitely early in the dec qtr to get stock into the shops. If AJX are the only supplier of such the 90 day payment would be negotiable, if I were NC it would be 30 days thank you very much and we will guarantee supply for xmas. where else do they go?
2. NC states in the last 4C blurb that during the qtr they received a combined $1,275,000 consisting of cash and commitments, so with a declared cash flow of $369,000 that leaves cash to the bank in the dec qtr of $906,000 even if it's a 90 settlement... unless they pay late.
So it's not a long bow to predict that $1.2m + will show up in cash receipts. Further they may have also received significant cash advances from DoD considering the closeness of the relationship and the work done on Capital Hill to date. Hence my proposition that the numbers in the 4C could be quite surprising, given the range of possibilities.
AJX Price at posting:
81.5¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
