Key Assumptions:
· Mean liquids by weight = 3.5%
· Average thickness of HRZ shale = 170’ (52m)
· HRZ shale extends across all 272,000 acres
· Shale Rock density of 2000 kg/m3 *
· Weight of oil per barrel = 140kg **
Volume = Area x Thickness = 1,100,512,000 x 52 = 57,226,624,000 m3
Total rock weight = Rock density x Volume = 2000 x 57,226,624,000 = 114,453,248,000,000 kg
Total liquids weight (at 3.5%) = 0.035 x 114,453,248,000,000 = 4,005,863,680,000 kg
Barrels of oil in place = Total liquids weight/ weight per barrel = 4,005,863,680,000 / 140kg
= 28,613,312,000 barrels (28 billion barrels)
Barrels Recoverable (assuming 10% recovery) = 2.8 billion barrels oil
Barrels Recoverable (assuming 20% recovery) = 5.6 billion barrels oil
Barrels Recoverable (assuming 30% recovery) = 8.4 billion barrels oil
Barrels Recoverable (assuming 40% recovery) = 11.2 billion barrels oil
Barrels Recoverable (assuming 50% recovery) = 14.0 billion barrels oil and so on now as it is been de-risked,
Could be higher and also we still have the 2 conventional plays,
Prudhoe Bay is 80% Recoverable so lets wait for the TRANSFORMATIONAL 88E IRR
VERY HAPPY EASTER EVERYONE
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