I would take analyst forecasts with a grain of salt, they only represent people's best guess, I would put more weight in what management say they will be earning, they have the most information to work with, but even that's a best guess of what will happen over the next month.
The fact that Morgan's reduced their guess is irrelevant to me, I wasn't basing my valuation on Morgan's guess, they over estimated earnings and as the games final quarter plays out they have realised it and reduced their guess.
What do you think they need a smoke screen for? Earnings have grown, they have good stable domestic business, a growing export business, and a growing production business.
Offcourse you should expect some volatility in share price as the various stages of the capital raising play out, that shouldn't worry investors, just do your valuation based on the facts, and if the price you can buy shares at is good compared to your valuation buy some, otherwise just hold and let the company do its thing.
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