Ann: Operational Update - Significant Progress on all Fronts-88E.AX, page-94

  1. 2,124 Posts.
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    Great point Domus . Further reinforcement (for those who still need it) on the validity of PB's model. Though as you point out, PB's model is all about the OIP. It would also not surprise me if his model is being deliberately conservative even on that front....but only time will tell.

    The increasingly interesting thing is the recoverability of the OIP. The PB estimates are based on 17% recovery....but this is obviously where there is the greatest opportunity for improvement. I am not referring to the EOR techniques that may be deployed well into the well life-cycle to inhibit decline rates and extend productivity/recoverability (though I wonder whether that has been factored into the model). I am referring to the improved recoverability being experienced today (eg in the Permian as per your other link today) in the primary phase via longer laterals and via greater proppant use per lateral foot.

    And this is all just about the cake sans icing!

    GTTBASH (Great Time To Be a Share Holder)
 
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