trylogic - that's about the best analysis we can make until it is clarified exactly what the 17.95% relates to.
I would attach one rider. The $45M 2016 revenue estimate was made pre-Xped collaboration. It is clear that ADRC will substantially add to to both the cost of manufacture and value of the chips. Therefore the chip price point will be higher, thereby generating higher than forecast revenues.
Therefore, the AU$ value of Xped's revenue share may be closer to AU$10M+.
Ann: Licensing Agreement Signed with Telink Semiconductor-XPE.AX, page-251
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