HZN 2.56% 20.0¢ horizon oil limited

Where to from here...., page-69

  1. 9,042 Posts.
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    Sobering take on things Mongy

    I was searching for positives and recall Emmet stated in the recent BRR FY16 Podcast that HZN would be debt free by end of 2019 based on consensus price decks.
    I figure HZN will produce around 3.5mmbbls between now and end of 2019.
    To pay off USD140 debt (ANZ90m + IMC50m) would require USD40 from every one of those 3.5m brls sold. I guess he's assuming av USD70/brl crude which seems optimistic.
    Anyway, at least most of those 2P developed reserves will be replenished from BG P2 and some gas from Stanley/Ok Tedi development.
    Keeps them in the game while a solution is found for PNG assets.

    Like you, I don't see any major sp catalysts in the near term. It's a bottom draw job or a churning stock for traders without much downside from here, and assuming volume stays reasonable.
 
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