RED 4.17% 34.5¢ red 5 limited

What is it like when your down RED @ .105, page-9

  1. 2,361 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 1330
    Just a few facts to give some perspective.
    RED forward guidance is to have an AISC for FY 17 of A$740-780/oz, production of 72-80koz for an EBITDA of approximately A$85m. Current market cap is approx A$84m hence its EV/EBITDA is approximately 1.
    Compare this with SLR which in its recent annual report stated that its EBITDA was A$56.7m and today the market cap is approximately A$242m hence its EV/EBITDA is approximately 4.
    SLR has hedged forward 76327oz at A$1655/oz - and AISC A$1280 - this may improve .
    RED has no hedging.Both companies have no debt. Both are several years away from issuing dividends.
    The A$ is rising and the Philippine currency is falling.
    With known reserves, RED has an estimated 8yr LOM, SLR has 3 yr. (both almost certain to increase).
    I'm sure there are other pertinent facts but I don't believe that SLR and RED should be trading on such different EV/EBITDA - despite the perceived country risk the Phillipines poses. I hold both companies, but I have been switching some SLR into RED based on the above analysis. (kiss of death for RED ?)
    SLR was 53c last week so is more than 10% down .... like poor manipulated RED.
    RBC in August had an upside of 90-110c for SLR and a downside of 40c. Hartley's in July gave a 12month target of 29c for RED ( EV/EBITDA of 2.5-3 ?) So, worse case analysis, both SLR & RED are cheap?
    Buy in gloom, sell in boom - the only formula thats always worked - easy to say , hard to practice.

    So, if you think that the US$ is going to the moon (crushing most other currencies especially EM countries) because interest rates are going to 'normalised' and its perceived safe haven status grows, and hence gold will become a worthless 'pet rock', and the Donald is going to make "America Great Again"... you should not buy any gold let alone a gold miner. If you have gold, don't panic, some central bank will happily buy it.
 
watchlist Created with Sketch. Add RED (ASX) to my watchlist
(20min delay)
Last
34.5¢
Change
-0.015(4.17%)
Mkt cap ! $2.346B
Open High Low Value Volume
35.0¢ 35.5¢ 33.8¢ $12.95M 37.54M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
12 1053665 34.0¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
34.5¢ 127427 3
View Market Depth
Last trade - 16.10pm 06/08/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
RED (ASX) Chart
arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch. arrow-down-2 Created with Sketch.