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18/10/16

19:38

Post #: 19949060
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Originally posted by Proctalgia ↑

Has anyone noticed how the Fed always finds a way, even at the last minute, to avoid raising rates.

A couple of months back, Fischer was saying there could be two increases by year end. Now, they're talking lower for even longer, and let inflation run beyond the previous target.

They're finally talking about how much slack there is in the labor market, how many people are not included in the stats or are working part-time/casual. Also, how much damage a higher US dollar does to their own economy. They're acknowledging the impact of ageing populations and high debt levels on consumption and economic growth.

All this is supportive of Gold - low interest rates, more stimulus, the prospect of higher inflation.

I really think 2017 will be a repeat of 2016 with Gold prices staying very strong. I'm not sure the market for gold at this moment reflects how reluctant the Fed is to raise rates. In my opinion they can't do much raising until the rest of the world catches up. Japan and Europe look to have no hope. Emerging economies seem fragile and laden with debt. China just posted a 10% drop in exports.

I think the combination of loose monetary policy, demographics and monster debt loads are leading us into a period of stagflation - high inflation/low growth.

For those of us invested in Gold, we just need to hold on long enough to enjoy the spoils.

GLTAH.

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Interesting . Do you think the market dynamics in US will alter after November election results ? As a novice I have always thought the US market has been propped up for political reasons and it should have collapsed years ago !
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gold, page-13653

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