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New Reuters/Ipsos poll gives Clinton big 8% lead, page-24

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Reaper11

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04/11/16

13:37

Post #: 20375834
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Originally posted by jambo12 ↑

The Gallup voter affiliation survey has a pretty consistent 30 Dem 30 Rep 40 Independent split. 13 % Independents is crazy.

One possible explanation is that a lot of media only shows the headline RCP average figure, if lots of polls are closing up then a random +8 skews the average back up.

These games are coming to an end though as no polling company can risk being 10 points out on election day, my precdiction is that the samples will become much more even by Sun/Mon.

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It seems strange that they get the voter to identify their political allegiance. It's not done here. If you get the sample size right it's not necessary...the randomness takes care of that.

Reaper
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