SDV 3.41% 42.5¢ scidev ltd

re.ann, page-16

  1. 1,795 Posts.
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    claw
    heres the post


    Stated forecast revenue of $128 m per annum; EBITDA $70.5 m; 550 m shares; -> 13c/share return (minus ITDA).

    Is this a reasonable estimate?

    Based on 65,000 tpa Zn concentrate;
    41% Zn @ $3000/t -> $90 m
    10% PB @ $1650/t -> $11 m
    200g/t Ag -> $ 9 m
    Total $110 m; not too far off. Worst case 10c/share return?

    Are they producing this well?

    Expect 5000 tpm concentrate (+); 65000 tpa forecast; OK - fits above figures.

    How's the cash?

    $545,000 on hand; loan facility $4.5 m; looks OK.

    Cash flow?

    Forecast positive from now on; reasonable with 90% payment for first shipment due in 10 days time; about $ 9 m??

    Blue sky?

    Zeehan resource, Burnie to restart, Bass metals shares - all OK.

    Long term?

    Over 7 years life for HZCP based on reserves; should be able to find other sources in that time; OK.

    ******
    Still a bit uneasy about the share price (INL now 25$ of my portfolio) but can sleep a bit better.





    Stated revenue forecast of 128 milliom per year
    thats about 10 million a month
    inl half share is 5 million.
    can u read?
    how did u get into sharetrading?
 
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