Dude, you are way over thinking this, or you think I am saying something I am not.
You are claiming that Inventory is to high and they have to much of their equity tied up in it, and it would be a problem to run it down.
All I am saying is if they simply stopped buying in honey for 45 days, half of that equity which is currently "tied up" as Barrels of honey, would be converted back to cash, and they would have $19,000,000 cash and $19,000,000 of honey on their balance sheet rather than $38,000,000 of honey.
I am not saying they would be booking $19,000,000 of profit or that it is $19,000,000 of "free money", but it would end the "Inventory problem" and "Cashflow problem" people here are imagining.
they would however continue to earn their 8% to 10% operating margin on the honey as they ran down the inventory, all that would happen is the number of barrels of bulk honey in storage would shrink, and the amount of cash at the bank would rise.
Would running the stock down to less than 1.5 months supply be smart? probably not, they could get away with it for a fair while and the "Analysts" feel comfortable with the equity sitting in cash, But the company would be in a less strong position.
The Honey stockpile is readily transferable back to cash, every time we sent a pallet of honey to Coles or woolies, that stock pile shrinks and turns back into cash, all we would have to do is stop replacing the honey.
I am not saying liquidate the honey at fire sale price, just run the packing plants as usual and stop purchasing honey for a few weeks.
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