"strengthen the balance sheet and provide funding flexibility to accelerate the development of the Sal de Vida and James Bay projects"
It looks like we are building JB and SDV concurrently. Quick execution is key, so i'm in favour.
The NPV of SDV is A$1.4bn give and take. Galaxy is gathering A$500mio to fund SDV.
Source of funds:
1. Operating cash flow CY2017 +2018 of A$277mio
2. Prepayment on offtakes, 25kt LCE at US$13,000 (50% upfront) = A$213mio
3. Private placement (100mio shares at 54cent) A$54mio, assuming half goes to SDV i.e. A$27mio
Total = 277 + 213 + 27 =A$517mio
Galaxy is asking for a bit of money from shareholders (in this case from fundies) in order to unlock the full potential of SDV. Turning A$500mio into A$1.4bn in present value terms sounds great to me!
Model Update
*upgraded from 25ktpa to 35ktpa LCE from SDV, because putting together a strong SDV team with 200 years of combined brine experience, I don't think AT is only wanting a 25ktpa capacity. As AC pointed out, 50ktpa is more likely.
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 1 Calendar Year 2020 2 SDV 3 LCE production tonnes 35,000* 4 Price per tonne 10,300 5 Operating Cost per tonne 2,959 after potash credits 6 EBITDA (USD) 256,935,000 7 AUDUSD 0.76 8 EBITDA (AUD) 338,072,368 9 Attributable to GXY (100%)** 338,072,368 10 Interest (100m debt) 10,000,000 11 Depreciation 466,206 12 Taxes @ 30% 98,281,849 13 NPAT (AUD) 229,324,314 14 EPS of SDV (1933m shares) 0.119 15 16 Mt Cattlin 17 Spodumene tonnes 218,000 18 Price per tonne 727 19 Operating Cost per tonne 250 20 EBITDA (USD) 103,986,000 21 AUDUSD 0.76 22 EBITDA (AUD) 136,823,684 23 Interest AUD (USD 40m debt) 3,684,211 24 Depreciation 344,148 25 Taxes @ 30% 39,838,598 26 NPAT (AUD) 92,956,728 27 EPS of Mt Cattlin 0.048 28 29 Total EPS 0.167 30 PE 12.00 31 Target SP 2.00
** With the above funding structure, 100% ownership of SDV is achievable
I'm still seeing a target price of at least A$2.00 even after incorporating the new 100mio shares to be issued
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