GXY 0.00% $5.28 galaxy resources limited

$54m Placement by Cannacord, page-17

  1. 2,853 Posts.
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    "strengthen the balance sheet and provide funding flexibility to accelerate the development of the Sal de Vida and James Bay projects"

    It looks like we are building JB and SDV concurrently. Quick execution is key, so i'm in favour.

    The NPV of SDV is A$1.4bn give and take. Galaxy is gathering A$500mio to fund SDV.
    Source of funds:
    1. Operating cash flow CY2017 +2018 of A$277mio
    2. Prepayment on offtakes, 25kt LCE at US$13,000 (50% upfront) = A$213mio
    3. Private placement (100mio shares at 54cent) A$54mio, assuming half goes to SDV i.e. A$27mio

    Total = 277 + 213 + 27 =A$517mio

    Galaxy is asking for a bit of money from shareholders (in this case from fundies) in order to unlock the full potential of SDV. Turning A$500mio into A$1.4bn in present value terms sounds great to me!

    Model Update
    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3
    1 Calendar Year 2020  
    2 SDV    
    3 LCE production tonnes 35,000*  
    4 Price per tonne 10,300  
    5 Operating Cost per tonne 2,959 after potash credits
    6 EBITDA (USD) 256,935,000  
    7 AUDUSD 0.76  
    8 EBITDA (AUD) 338,072,368  
    9 Attributable to GXY (100%)** 338,072,368  
    10 Interest (100m debt) 10,000,000  
    11 Depreciation 466,206  
    12 Taxes @ 30% 98,281,849  
    13 NPAT (AUD) 229,324,314  
    14 EPS of SDV (1933m shares) 0.119  
    15      
    16 Mt Cattlin    
    17 Spodumene tonnes 218,000  
    18 Price per tonne 727  
    19 Operating Cost per tonne 250  
    20 EBITDA (USD) 103,986,000  
    21 AUDUSD 0.76  
    22 EBITDA (AUD) 136,823,684  
    23 Interest AUD (USD 40m debt) 3,684,211  
    24 Depreciation 344,148  
    25 Taxes @ 30% 39,838,598  
    26 NPAT (AUD) 92,956,728  
    27 EPS of Mt Cattlin 0.048  
    28      
    29 Total EPS 0.167  
    30 PE 12.00  
    31 Target SP 2.00  
    *upgraded from 25ktpa to 35ktpa LCE from SDV, because putting together a strong SDV team with 200 years of combined brine experience, I don't think AT is only wanting a 25ktpa capacity. As AC pointed out, 50ktpa is more likely.

    ** With the above funding structure, 100% ownership of SDV is achievable

    I'm still seeing a target price of at least A$2.00 even after incorporating the new 100mio shares to be issued
    Last edited by Ninja Tuna: 07/02/17
 
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