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Ann: Dividend/Distribution - GRR, page-73

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    Average prices ($A/t), allowing A$16 / t freight
    Oct 16 -> 104.00
    Nov 16 -> 125.80
    Dec 16 -> 132.00
    Jan 17 -> 125.00
    Feb 17 -> 130.00
    Rough numbers then, assuming 640kT sales at average A$127/t, A$82 costs exclduing royalty:
    640 * (127 - 82 - (127 *5%)) -> A$24.738 m quarter gross margin
    Assume $1.5m admin; dividends paid A$5.4m -> A$17.838 cash subject to:
    (a) inventory movements (expect relatively neutral)
    (b) capex (allow $5m ahead of mill replacement)
    (c) forex loss on deposits (allow $4m given rate moved 72 -> 76)
    => A$8m cash / liquidity addition.
    Would love some more downward pressure on AUDUSD!
 
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