PEM 0.00% 35.0¢ perilya limited

my valuation of pem most hc have nfi, page-7

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    398.75 for zinc

    60,000 tonnes * 0.88 lead * 2200 * 1.25 = 145.2 mill

    398.75 + 145.2 = 544 mill

    Net profit margin after tax at 35%:
    544 mill * 0.35 = 190.4

    EPS: 190.4/200 = 0.95 cents per share pre little bit of hedging

    Net profit margin after tax at 30%:

    544 * 0.30 = 163.2

    163.2/200 = 0.816 cents per share pre little bit of hedging

    net profit margin after tax 25%:

    544 * 0.25= 136mill

    136/200= 0.68 EPS pre littlle bit of hedging

    So yeah worse case scenario we're looking at 60 something cents per share for this yr based on NPAT margin of 25% and zn price 1.45 and taking 15-20% hedging

    Next yr though, betlana to add 20 cps in EPS each yr for 3 years

    this yrs EPS is lower due to ONE-OFF tragedy

    Next yr we're looking at 90cents per share+ due to BELTANA

    prospective its cheap.

    Commsec forecasts are for 70 something cents this yr.

    the yield is great and production back to normal withoiut this one-off next yr.

    When they present their accounts theyll do the accounting including the one-off and do the accounting without the one-off.

    Everyone is experiencing higher costs nowadays when trying to increase proddy

    With current ops in place and beltana next yr, EPS should remain high enough to justify a higher valuation
 
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