RVR 0.00% 7.3¢ red river resources limited

Something must happen., page-29

  1. 560 Posts.
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    Forgive me for answering a question directed at someone else, but I spent some time figuring this out a while back. This was RVR's commodity forecast in the 2015 restart study:

    RVR 2015 Restart Study Price Assumptions.jpg

    And these were the key project metrics:

    RVR 2015 Restart Study Key Project Metrics.jpg

    When I broke the production up over 5.25 years and applied the commodity forecasts from 2016-2021, I got a project life of mine revenue of A$704 million, but when I only applied the 2016 commodity forecast, I got A$630 million. If you allow for a rounding error on the concentrate totals, it seems the 2015 restart study only used the 2016 forecast, which had zinc at US$2,205/t.

    The zinc price is currently at US$2,547. Even though it's well down from the highs of ~$2900 we saw a few months ago, the project is more attractive at current prices than it was a couple of years ago. LOM revenue is 4% higher today than in the restart study metrics.

    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7
    0       21-Jun-17      
    1 Metal Qty Unit Price (US$) Exchange Rate Revenue (A$) %
    2 Zinc 112k tonne 2547 0.75 $380M 58%
    3 Copper 19k tonne 5625 0.75 $143M 22%
    4 Lead 26k tonne 2101 0.75 $73M 11%
    5 Gold 10k oz 1246 0.75 $17M 3%
    6 Silver 1.9M oz 16.50 0.75 $42M 6%
    7 LOM         $654M  
 
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