I have been making a lot of mistakes in my calcs lately (unfortunetly), so dont expect these to be perfect, but this is my effort to try and understand the 2H to use as a more accurate projection for 1H18 than the FY result.
The challenge is to try and workout underlying NPAT for FY then translate that to a H2 number.
EV/EBITDA should be more useful than PER, and it doesnt look too bad, but the H2 NPAT is bad.
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 1 1H17 2H17 (l.est) 2H17 (h.est) FY17 (l.est) FY17 (h.est) 2 EBITDA (Underlying) 108.50 103.50 107.5 212.0 216.0 3 Adjustments 20.70 (12.80) (12.80) 7.9 7.9 4 EBITDA (Statutory) 129.20 90.70 94.7 219.9 223.9 5 NPAT (Reported) 72.5 19.50 22.5 92 95 6 Adjustments 15.9 -9.344 -9.344 5.767 5.767 7 NPAT (Underlying) 56.6 28.84 31.844 86.233 89.233 8 Shares 1532.1 1532.1 1532.1 1532.1 1532.1 9 SP 0.765 0.765 0.765 0.765 0.765 10 Market Cap 1172.1 1172.1 1172.1 1172.1 1172.1 11 Net Debt 203.2 203.2 203.2 203.2 203.2 12 EV 1375.3 1375.3 1375.3 1375.3 1375.3 13 EV/EBITDA (underlying, annualised) 6.34 6.64 6.40 6.49 6.37 14 EPS (underlying,annualised) 0.0739 0.0377 0.0416 0.0563 0.0582 15 PER (underlying, annualise) 10.4 20.3 18.4 13.6 13.1
myx a buy, page-21
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