I think the instos are still digesting the news and adjusting their risk discount on this.
Remember, GSW still has a retail heavy register. The SA article (and my own calcs) show we are trading at ~80% discount based on the contracts we have signed.
Now, NA Williams is a big contract to swallow, but an ~80% discount is excessive. 50% at this point would be more reasonable. So my sense is $4-5 would be fair value by end of year, and then looking more like $7 by end of next year as revenue starts to flow and execution risk is diminished.
As always, DYOR and GLATH
GSW Price at posting:
$2.35 Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held