GSW 0.00% 29.0¢ getswift limited

Overseas Interest in GSW, page-23

  1. 95 Posts.
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    I think the instos are still digesting the news and adjusting their risk discount on this.

    Remember, GSW still has a retail heavy register. The SA article (and my own calcs) show we are trading at ~80% discount based on the contracts we have signed.

    Now, NA Williams is a big contract to swallow, but an ~80% discount is excessive. 50% at this point would be more reasonable. So my sense is $4-5 would be fair value by end of year, and then looking more like $7 by end of next year as revenue starts to flow and execution risk is diminished.

    As always, DYOR and GLATH
 
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