PLS 3.83% $2.98 pilbara minerals limited

massively undervalued, page-75

  1. 2,469 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 2032
    Couldn't help myself and bashed this together. Happy to have this shredded to pieces for any errors I may have made. Also happy to make it your own, improve it and reshare it.
    https://www.dropbox.com/s/nmim6ktqisbr9m3/PLS valuatn.xlsx?dl=0
    Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8
    0 PLS Valuation Sheet              
    1   2mta name plate 2mta name plate 2mta name plate 5mta name plate 2mta name plate 5mta name plate 8mta name plate
    2 Scenario conservative? pessimistic? not crazy? conservative? pessimistic? not crazy? not crazy?
    3 Plant processing capacity t/yr 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 5,000,000 5,000,000 5,000,000 8,000,000
    4 Spodumene recovery % 17.5% 15.0% 17.0% 15.0% 12.0% 16.0% 16.0%
    5 Spodumene recovery t/yr 350,000 300,000 340,000 750,000 600,000 800,000 1,280,000
    6 Spod processing cost US$/t $220 $250 $220 $250 $300 $250 $250
    7 Ore sell price US$/t $800 $700 $950 $950 $800 $1,000 $1,000
    8 Tantalum & other credits US$/t $20 $10 $50 $20 $10 $50 $50
    9 Margin US$/t $600 $460 $780 $720 $510 $800 $800
    10 Forex USD->AUD $0.78 $0.70 $0.78 $0.78 $0.70 $0.78 $0.78
    11 Assumed % of nameplate proc cap. 80% 60% 90% 80% 60% 80% 80%
    12 EBITA A$/yr $215,385,000 $118,286,000 $306,000,000 $553,846,000 $262,286,000 $656,410,000 $1,050,256,000
    13 Valuation xEBIT 6 10 12 7 10 8 7
    14 Capital invested/debt $250,000,000 $350,000,000 $250,000,000 $350,000,000 $450,000,000 $350,000,000 $350,000,000
    15 Company value $1,042,300,000 $832,900,000 $3,422,000,000 $3,526,900,000 $2,172,900,000 $4,901,300,000 $7,001,800,000
    16 Shares issued 1,556,000,000 1,556,000,000 1,556,000,000 1,556,000,000 1,556,000,000 1,556,000,000 1,556,000,000
    17 Price per share $0.65 $0.55 $2.20 $2.25 $1.40 $3.15 $4.50
 
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