HZN 0.00% 19.5¢ horizon oil limited

Volume and SP, page-20

  1. 2,163 Posts.
    lightbulb Created with Sketch. 105
    Just before we get the QR (and in case maths wasnt your best subject) then consider a 2013 Beibu well that was originally producing at" 100 "bopd 5 years ago and gets a workover in the first Q of 2018.
    Say its production in late 2017 had fallen by 15% to 85 as it progressively "gummed up".
    Say the production is restored to 100 as a result of the workover(the reaming of the well,and probably other maintenance matters that couldnt have been remedied unless the well had been taken out of production).
    Thats a 17.6% gain on that wells production contribution that is in the QR we are about to get.
    Now speculate,just a bit,and allow for a 5% rise in the oil price.
    Recast the figures and it comes out as an improvement of 23,52%. on current revenue
    Now do the sums again and instead of the 15% fall the fall0off had been 20%.

    The 23.52% figure jumps t0 31.25%.
    The fall-off rate at Beibu is unknown (to me) but" 15%" is sometimes a lot more than that.
    I repeat that the benefit of workovers of all 15 or 16 Phase 1 wells s over 3 years is almost ignored,at the moment,by most HZNers and potential HZNers.
    If HZN wanted to give the SP a bit of a rev then some figures of early workovers results would likely put a bit of shine to the SP.
 
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