BUD 0.00% 0.6¢ buddy technologies ltd

Ann: Appendix 4C Quarterly Cashflow and commentary, page-42

  1. 9,788 Posts.
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    @bc2 its 1.149bn fully diluted shares @26c = $298M mkt cap fully diluted

    the challenge around valuation is that the earnings arent actually occurring yet - and then the difference between assuming minimum contract amounts vs total contrct potential

    and then an LoI is likely to be largely ignored - simply because its a toothless document

    generally a letter of intents value is strictly for marketing purposes

    though it can add weight to a later court case in contractual disputes around intent and understanding. but it generally has no power in terms of enforcing sales

    So market is left to calculate a valuation from $22.7m over 3 yrs (include the 600k thats moved above minimum) vs a possibility of up to $~70mover rolling longer term 3 yr spread

    and about $1-1.5m in non ohm annual revs

    So its ~$8.5m pa from 1q 2018 on rolling 12 months basis minimum

    puts it on 35x price to sales ratio on its 'guranteed' income - which is getting up there

    but its v cheap(single digit p/s ratio) if it hits $70m in annualised 3 yr income


    big shout out to BUD IR and MD for reading our HC talks and addressing them in the quarterly

    that flow of info to clarify and confirm exactly reflects the discussions we had - even down to wbt holding

    very kind of them to treat those discussions on the merit they deserved
 
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