Still got further to go.
My excel spreadsheet has $1.84 based on them delivering what they say they will. IF things are less than ideal - 61c. Either way, you're winning.
Here are some of my assumptions. Feedback very welcome
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 1 STAGE 1 Base case 2 cost to produce per Tonne (AU) 316 3 FY18 productiion estimate 219000 4 Liuthium cocentrate price (USD) 950 5 AUD/USD 0.77 6 Capital costs AU $110,000,000 7 Annual interest (15%) $16,500,000 8 Other long term debt $17,000,000 9 Long term debt repayments (10%) $1,700,000.0 10 estimated profit AU 182,790,805 11 Number of years to complete 0.6 12 Discount per year 15% 13 Adjusted profit AU $166,339,633 14 P/E 11 15 market cap 1,829,735,960 16 Cash 13,300,000 17 Enterprise value 1,843,035,960 18 Share options 77,000,000 19 Number of shares 1,751,322,513 20 fair value share price (stage 1 only) $1.01 21 22 23 STAGE 2 24 tonnes per year 230,000 25 capital costs 70,000,000 26 annual interest (15%) 10,500,000 27 estimated profit fot stage 2 200,586,234 28 number of years to complete 2.0 29 discount per year 15% 30 adjusted profit AU 140,410,364 31 market cap at project level 1,544,514,000 32 share price attributed to stage 2 0.84 33 combined market cap 3,387,549,960 34 combined share price $1.84
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