Hello,
A significant part of how Iron Ore miners are valued is looking at the expected forward price of Iron Ore.
Whilst the price of Iron Ore may increase by 25% bringing it up to $100 for the next year etc....
Given that BHP wants to increase from 120 to 300mt p.a
CVRD is going for over 400, RIO over 300, FMG potentially upto 200m t p.a....and lets not forget Mid caps not only those from Australia but from all over the world that are coming on board in 2010-2012.
There is the potential for the Iron Ore price to retract in the medium term. Thus, using realistic long term Iron Ore prices add some surety to your valuation metrics.
I would suggest adding more to the cost, more to capex and less to realised price.
I think the vandium addition is the insurance policy for this company in the medium to long term.
As someone said to me once, its an educate your kids stock.
AXO.....$10 by 2010.
TheGimp
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